Friday, September 22, 2006

Weather

We decided to stay put until this storm passes. Which was a good move since the area we were planning to visit has been hit with severe storms and hail. I checked the weather again and this is what is going on. We are not quite out of the woods but at least the RV isn't shaking like it was last night. It was quite disturbing. If we have to, there is shelter nearby but I don't see that happening. We are 15 miles from Springfield.

Fall begins tonight at 11:03 PM CT with the Autumnal Equinox. The severe weather outbreak we expected to take place today is indeed in progress, with at least one confirmed tornado thus far (St. James, MO). The dry line has pushed east through Springfield, effectively ending the tornado threat for now. However, dry lines often "back up" at night, and since the main push of upper energy and the main cold front hasn't moved through yet, the threat cannot be considered over yet for Springfield and far western Missouri. East of a line from roughly Rolla to Huntsville, AR, the threat for tornadic storms remains high. Nearly every storm today has shown rotation due to the very strong wind shear in place, and we will likely see several rounds of scattered storms develop and move northeast.

A very strong upper disturbance and associated jet stream will move through the central plains tonight. Scattered storms will develop in response to this, even as far west as the main cold front. Some of those could be severe again, and will likely form a squall line late tonight. At that point, the main threat will be damaging winds, not tornadoes.

Saturday looks wet, but by Sunday the system will be east of us with pleasant weather returning.


Location:  Marshfield Missouri

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